Fantasy Overdrive · Official ATS picks · NBA and college sports coverage
NFL experimental picks
ATS, moneyline and over/under forecasts published before kickoff. These models have not established an advantage over the market. Each first published selection and price stays locked.
Experimental record
This record starts with this release and is separate from the official ATS record. One hypothetical unit risked per published selection; no bets are placed.
| Market | W–L–P | Void | Pending | Quoted units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATS | 0–0–0 | 0 | 13 | 0.00 |
| Moneyline | 0–0–0 | 0 | 13 | 0.00 |
| Over/under | 0–0–0 | 0 | 14 | 0.00 |
Inputs last checked Nov 7, 2026, 8:01 AM ET. Quotes are publication snapshots, not a promise of current availability.
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings +3 · -101
Pinnacle · Lean only — no positive estimated value
-3.1 home margin. Selection probability 48.2%; estimated value -0.9% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 9, 2026, 8:15 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears -6.5 · +103
Pinnacle · Lean only — no positive estimated value
+6.2 home margin. Selection probability 49.0%; estimated value -0.5% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 8:20 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks -8 · -107
LowVig.ag · Experimental positive-value lean
+8.6 home margin. Selection probability 50.2%; estimated value 0.3% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 4:25 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers +3 · +102
LowVig.ag · Experimental positive-value lean
+3.1 home margin. Selection probability 48.0%; estimated value 0.2% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 4:25 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans -5.5 · -110
FanDuel · Lean only — no positive estimated value
-6.2 home margin. Selection probability 52.2%; estimated value -0.3% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 4:05 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers +2.5 · +103
Pinnacle · Experimental positive-value lean
-2.5 home margin. Selection probability 49.9%; estimated value 1.3% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 1:00 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys -4.5 · -110
MyBookie.ag · Experimental positive-value lean
-5.4 home margin. Selection probability 53.0%; estimated value 1.1% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 1:00 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins
Detroit Lions -6.5 · -103
Pinnacle · Experimental positive-value lean
-6.9 home margin. Selection probability 51.2%; estimated value 0.9% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 1:00 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders
Los Angeles Rams -4 · -103
LowVig.ag · Experimental positive-value lean
-4.7 home margin. Selection probability 50.6%; estimated value 2.9% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 1:00 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs -10 · +102
LowVig.ag · Lean only — no positive estimated value
+9.8 home margin. Selection probability 47.7%; estimated value -0.5% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 1:00 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints
Cleveland Browns +3 · +105
LowVig.ag · Experimental positive-value lean
+3.0 home margin. Selection probability 48.3%; estimated value 2.1% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 1:00 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles +3 · +100
BetUS · Experimental positive-value lean
-2.8 home margin. Selection probability 49.1%; estimated value 1.4% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 1:00 PM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons +3 · +100
DraftKings · Lean only — no positive estimated value
-3.2 home margin. Selection probability 47.8%; estimated value -1.3% per unit. These are experimental estimates.
Published Nov 6, 2026, 7:05 PM ET · kickoff Nov 8, 2026, 9:30 AM ET. Pregame selection; price locked at publication.
Result pending.
Current input gaps
Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers: Matching pregame schedule and quote required.
Washington Commanders at New York Giants: ATS: three fresh paired books and current matching team-only ratings required. Moneyline: three fresh paired moneyline books plus matching ATS inputs required.
Historical testing and limitations
Whole-season walk-forward. No candidate has established an advantage over the market. Historical quote timestamps are unverified; these are retrospective diagnostics, not executable Saturday returns.
ATS
| Forecast | Games | RMSE ↓ | MAE ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|
| market | 1679 | 12.641 | 9.759 |
| raw05 | 1679 | 12.641 | 9.754 |
| raw10 | 1679 | 12.644 | 9.751 |
| raw30 | 1679 | 12.681 | 9.772 |
| qb30 | 1679 | 12.671 | 9.767 |
| residual | 1679 | 12.643 | 9.758 |
Totals
| Forecast | Games | RMSE ↓ | MAE ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|
| market | 1737 | 13.048 | 10.305 |
| residual | 1737 | 13.051 | 10.305 |
Moneyline
1674 non-tied games. Brier score: market 0.2109, candidate 0.2110. Log loss: market 0.6092, candidate 0.6095. Lower is better.
All three paired uncertainty intervals include zero. Probability estimates remain experimental. Forecasts use current market prices as their baseline, a small fitted residual adjustment, and no explicit injury, weather or pace point adjustment in v1.
Showing up to 60 selections for this market; the record includes all published selections. Owner: download the full forecast archive.
Entertainment only
Fantasy Overdrive provides sports analysis and picks for informational and entertainment purposes only. We do not accept bets, take wagers, or operate a sportsbook. Nothing on this site is financial or investment advice. Predictions are uncertain; we make no guarantees of accuracy, winnings, profit, or any particular result. Past results do not guarantee future performance.
If gambling is causing problems for you or someone you know, call or text the U.S. National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-MY-RESET (1-800-697-3738), text the helpline, or chat online. Free, confidential support is available 24/7.