NBA experimental forecasts

Score-only research model. These are projections, not official betting picks.

Updated 11/8/2026, 11:42:44 AM ET.

Game	Projected score	Winner	Home margin	Total
Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls	119.0 – 110.0	Philadelphia 76ers	-9.0	229.0
Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons	110.6 – 115.1	Detroit Pistons	4.5	225.7
Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves	105.4 – 120.6	Minnesota Timberwolves	15.2	226.1
Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks	108.7 – 115.7	Dallas Mavericks	7.0	224.5
Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks	119.5 – 108.0	Boston Celtics	-11.5	227.6
New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers	116.0 – 114.7	New Orleans Pelicans	-1.3	230.7
Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings	118.5 – 115.0	Miami Heat	-3.5	233.6
Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks	117.2 – 115.3	Los Angeles Lakers	-1.9	232.5
Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets	115.1 – 107.6	Cleveland Cavaliers	-7.5	222.7
Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons	103.6 – 116.4	Detroit Pistons	12.9	220.0
Memphis Grizzlies at Toronto Raptors	114.2 – 115.7	Toronto Raptors	1.5	229.8
Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks	109.7 – 115.5	Dallas Mavericks	5.8	225.2
Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets	110.3 – 116.3	Houston Rockets	6.0	226.6
San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns	118.7 – 110.6	San Antonio Spurs	-8.1	229.3
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors	115.0 – 118.2	Golden State Warriors	3.2	233.3

Coverage limits

Experimental score-only baseline; not a validated betting edge.
Uses recent team scoring margins, game totals, home court and rest.
No player injury, starter, minutes, possession efficiency or travel adjustments.
No calibrated moneyline/ATS probabilities, live odds, EV or staking recommendations.
Historical walk-forward simulations are not actual pregame predictions.

Historical simulation

3850 final games; 3134 chronological test games. Margin RMSE: 14.76; mean-only baseline: 16.21. Total RMSE: 19.33; mean-only baseline: 20.19. Historical coverage complete.

Real forward forecasts recorded: 22; graded: 7. This is not a betting win/loss record.